Estimate optimism factor
Estimates only ever move one way under reality — up. This measures your team’s optimism as a single correction factor you can pad the roadmap with, instead of a folklore 20% buffer.
Enter a handful of tickets: what you first estimated, and what the estimate ended up being (or the actual). The more, the truer.
Your work ends up about 48% bigger than first pointed. Pad plans by ~48% — or your “points” are really hope-points. 60% of these tickets grew.
Across 5 tickets. KalMatrix computes this per team, automatically, from your Jira change history.
Runs entirely in your browser — no data is sent anywhere. It uses the same S-curve and calibration math KalMatrix runs on your real Jira & GitHub, using the typical software-team curve where the tool has no history of your own.
This is one number. KalMatrix computes it for every sprint, from your real data.
It reads your Jira and GitHub, forecasts each active sprint against your team’s own history, and hands you one decision a day — with the receipts. See it on a fully-populated demo in 30 seconds.